Windows to the Earth


Chapter 1

A Land of Scenery and Violence

1959 Earthquake

  • 11:37 pm

  • 6.3 - 7.5

  • 160 geysers erupted at the same time

  • 100s of springs turned muddy

  • Landslides made the wind so strong that it ripped people's clothes off

    • Set loose boulders the size of houses

    • 30-foot tsunami

  • 28 deaths

    • Dozens injured

A hotspot for disaster

  • Earth's crust is being stretched by basin and range formation 

  • Strongest quakes in the Mountain West

  • Vertical plume of magma 125 miles deep 

  • Ongoing for 16.5 million years

  • Teton- Yellowstone combo seen nowhere else in the world

  • The geology here is “a living entity”

Yellowstone shaped the West

  • Largest hotspot under any continent

    • Among the largest of any hotspot on earth (30 or so)

    • 1 inch of movement per year 

    • 100 eruptions over the last 16.5 million years

  • Formed chains of calderas 500 miles long

    • Starting at the Idaho, Oregon, and Nevada border

  • Between 7 and 13 “volcanic centers”

    • Like Yellowstone and the 3 calderas is a volcanic center

  • 300-mile 1,700-foot bulge

  • Post-eruption 2,000-foot sinking 

  • Subsequent basalt flows help to create nutrient-rich soils

  • 3 Yellowstone eruptions

    • 2.1 million years ago, the Huckleberry Ridge eruption

      • 2,500 times larger than Mt. St. Helens

    • 1.3 million years ago Mesa Falls eruption

      • 280 MSHs

    • 631,000 years ago, the Lava Creek eruption

      • 1,000 MSHs

  • Many folks are surprised by the lack of mountains in YNP

    • Legacy of the hotspot

  • The current caldera is 30 miles by 45 miles

    • 30 lava flows obscure the actual caldera

    • The most recent lava flow was 70,000 years ago

    • Recognized by Hayden in 1871

  • 30-40 times more heat comes off the earth inside the caldera than is typical elsewhere

  • A column of hot and molten rock under the earth

    • At least 50 miles deep

    • Heats the overlying rock

    • 3-8 mile deep magma chamber 

    • Produces 500-1000 geysers

  • Geysers owe their existence to the high number of earthquakes

  • YNP breathes

    • Typical of calderas

  • Occasionally burps lava

    • Fairly rare event

    • It is impossible to predict so far

Burn, Freeze, Shake, and Slide

  • Volcanic soils foster lodgepole pines

    • 300-year fire cycle

  • Glacial maxima 

    • Yellowstone ice field ~3,500ft thick

      • Covered both Yellowstone and Grand Teton National Parks

      • Deepened Yellowstone and Jackson Lakes (1,800ft)

  • Massive floods as glaciers receded

    • Downcut many valleys 

  • Earthquakes are the dominant force on human time scales 

    • 1959 Hebgen lake

    • 1983 Borah peak, ID (7.3)

    • None along the Teton fault in historic times

  • 1925- 4.0 in Jackson Hole

    • Triggered the Gros Ventre slide

      • 250 million tons of earth moved

    • 1927 earthen dam burst

      • 6 people killed

  • The Teton and Wasatch faults are the most dangerous 

    • Capable of a 7.5 

    • Both are “overdue” 


A night of terror

  • Madison landslide

    • 80 million tons of earth

    • Enough to pave a 6-lane highway from Bozeman to NYC 1 foot deep

  • Hebgen quake (~7.3)

    • Hebgen scarp 22 feet by 8 miles

    • Red Canyon Scarp 22ft by 14 miles (other side of the fault block)

    • Tilted huge block or rock 

    • Dropped one side of the lake 19 feet

    • Created a seiche

      • 20-foot wave every 17 minutes 

      • Went on for 11 hours 

    • 5 aftershocks within 10 hours 

      • Between 5.5-6.3

    • Created Earthquake Lake 

      • 5 miles long 

      • 150 feet deep

Chapter 2

In the Wake of the Yellowstone Hotspot

I15 or I84

  • Flat, sagebrush, and basalt

  • Mountains once ran through the region

  • 50-mile-wide valley

    • “Snake River Plain”

    • Created by a hotspot, it resembles a boat wake

What are hotspots?

  • Earth Layers

    • Crust- brittle

      • Oceanic crust: thin, 6 miles thick

      • Continental crust

        • Thicker, 30+ miles thick

    • Mantle 

      • Denser than the crust 

      • Extends 1,800 miles to the core

    • Lithosphere

      • Top 50-80 miles

      • Includes crust and upper mantle

      • Brittle

      • Compose the “tectonic plates”

  • The Pacific plate slides northwest at 2 inches per year

  • Juan de Fuca Plate

    • Subducting 

    • Oregon, Washington, and British Columbia 

    • Forms the cascade range

  • Convection drives plate movement 

    • Lithosphere floats on “hot plastic” 

    • Hotspots raise large volumes of hot molten rock

      • “Mantel plumes

      • 1,800 miles below at the mantle/core boundary

  • Seismic tomography

    • 100s of seismometers measure the speed of sound/ shock waves

    • Travel more quickly through cold, dense rocks than warm ones

    • The shallow hotspot hypothesis says spots originate 125 miles below the surface

  • Radioactive decay creates core heat

    • Fluid dynamics brings the hottest magma to the surface

    • Magma pools 50 miles below the crust boundary

    • Heats overlying rock (melts it)

    • Rhyolitic magma = thick and viscous 

    • Basaltic magma = thin and runny 

  • The magma plume only partly melted

    • 3-8 miles below the surface

Hotspot of the Solar System

  • 30 hotspots in the world

    • All under the oceans except Yellowstone

  • Similarities to oceanic hotspots

    • Earth bulge

    • 300-mile-wide bulge 

  • Differences 

    • Thicker, older, and colder crust

    • Crust richer in silica

      • Rhyolite is 1,000,000 times more viscous

      • Tremendous gas pressure builds up

      • Can still occasionally erupt basalt

  • Venus has hotspots 

    • Their hotspots move 

      • Challenges previous knowledge of an inactive core

    • Io, Jupiter's moon, has 30 hotspots

      • Hyper-active plates

    • Olympus mons

      • Widespread hydrothermal on Mars!

Before the Hotspot

  • 20 million years ago- basin and range accelerated

    • 17 million years ago, the first supereruption 

      • 13 million years ago, the modern Teton fault

        • 2.1 million years ago, the first supereruption

  • 570 million years ago, Precambrian

    • Flooding by a shallow sea 245 million years ago

  • 3.4- 3.8 billion years ago, Beartooth and Wind River rocks formed

  • Teton rocks

    • 2.4 billion-year-old gneiss

    • 2.8 billion-year-old granite

    • 1.5 billion-year-old diabase dikes 

    • 535 million years ago, Flathead Sandstone

  • Yellowstone National Park

    • 360-320 million years ago, Madison Limestone 

  • Mesozoic 245-66 million years ago 

    • Triassic rocks reddish

    • Dinosaur spot in the GYE

    • The Cretaceous was a shallow sea

      • hydrocarbon/ coal

  • Sevier orogeny

    • 1st mountain building episode

    • 110 million years ago 

  • Laramide orogeny

    • 80 million years ago

    • The Rocky Mountains formed

    • Continued to the Cenozoic

      • <66 million years ago

    • 50 million years ago, the Absoroka formed 

      • Large volcanic eruptions

  • 30 million years ago 

    • West began stretching East to West

    • Accelerated 17 million years ago

    • Continues today

    • Modern “basin and range” formation

  • The Ancestral Teton Fault formed 34 million years ago

  • 16.5 million years ago, the Yellowstone hotspot emerged


Origins of Yellowstone Hotspot 

  • Mendocino triple junction 

    • Northern California coast

    • North American, Pacific, and Gorda plates

  • Which came first

    • Stretching or Hotspot 

  • Traditional Hotspot Theory

    • Originates at the core-mantle boundary

  • New Hotspot Theorgy

    • 125 miles below the surface

    • Formation related to surface features 

  • Columbia River basalts

    • 17-6 million years ago

    • Formed the Columbia River Gorge

  • 100 caldera-forming eruptions 

    • 16.5 million years span

Outpourings from Hell

  • Colossal caldera-forming events are fed by magma chambers

    • Large, sponge-like bodies of molten and partially molten rock in the crust

  • Known as plutons 

    • Greek god of the underworld

  • 45 miles by 30 miles

    • Same as the overlying caldera 

  • When it solidifies, it is called a batholith 

  • Fluid and gas pressure bring magma to the surface

  • During an eruption

    • Debris is hurled at supersonic speeds 

    • Magma is pulverized by the sudden expansion of gas bubbles

      • Nearly instantaneous turns into ash, pumice, and bombs

  • Lava flows

    • 60 miles in all directions from the caldera

  • Ash falls 

    • 500 miles radius

    • 1 foot of ash

  • The caldera

    • 45 miles by 30 miles, 600 feet deep

    • Destroyed mountain ranges

  • Older calderas

    • Little is known

    • Covered by large basalt flows

    • 12 million years ago

      • Ash killed large numbers of animals as far as Nebraska

Track of the Hotspot

  • Rhyolite rocks along the entire length 

    • 100 distinct ages

  • 7 Volcanic centers

  1. McDermitt Volcanic Field

    1. 16.5 million to 15 million years ago

  2. Owyhee Volcanic Center

    1. 15-13 million years ago

  3. Bruneau-Jarbridge

    1. 12.5-10.5 million years old

    2. Outside of Boise

  4. Twin Falls Caldera

    1. 10.5-8.6 million years old

  5. Picabo

    1. 10-7 million years old

    2. Blackfoot, ID

  6. Heise Volcanic Center

    1. 6.5, 6, and 4.3 million years old

    2. North of Idaho Falls

Big Bulges

  • “Topographic swell”

  • Molten rock buoyancy

  • 400-900 miles possible

  • Yellowstone 400 miles

    • Contributed to a 3,500ft ice cap 

  • When the hotspot left the Snake River Plane it sank 2,000 feet

  • Basalt flows are the last stage of volcanism

    • Contributes nutrients to the rich Idaho soil

Quakes in the Wake

  • Snake River plane

    • The most geologically active area in the West

    • 30 >5.5 quakes since 1900

  • This volcano doesn’t create mountains it destroys them

    • Left plains adjacent to mountains 

The hotspot's last stage

  • Seismic tomography looks deep into the Earth

  • Snake River plane is covered 1 mile deep in iron-rich basalt

  • 3 stages of volcanism

    • “Pre-Yellowstone”

      • 125-mile-deep hotspot

      • Radioactive decay heat source 

      • Magma pools 25-50 miles deep

        • Causes the ground to bulge 

    • “Yellowstone stage”

      • Molten basalt sheared off the hotspot

        • Via plate movement

      • Blobs rise to the surface 

      • Melts surrounding rhyolite

      • Molten rhyolite rises

      • Pressure decrease in the rock

      • Gases in rock expand

      • Boom! Explosive eruption 

        • Pyroclastic flows 

      • Magma chamber empties 

        • Collapses downward 

      • Each major eruption is followed by smaller rhyolite flows 

        • “Post caldera eruptions”

    • Snake River Plain Stage

      • Rhyolite chamber cools

      • Allows basalt to rise

        • Less gas and less viscous

        • Non-explosive

      • Landscape smoothes

      • Hotspot moves away

      • Land mass sinks

      • Remaining rocks (top to bottom)

        • Gentile rhyolite flows

        • Rhyolite tuff

        • Iron-rich slag

      • Total volume of basalt 2-3 times caldera-forming eruptions


Chapter 3

The Hotspot Reaches Yellowstone

Epicenters

  • Earthquakes occur along 2 parallel lines 

    • SE to NE

First Yellowstone Eruption

  • 2.1 million years ago

  • 50 by 40 miles

    • Rhode Island-sized hole in the ground

  • Pumice and ash piled up and welded themselves together 

  • 600 cubic miles of ash

    • Mt. St. Helens ¼ cubic mile

    • 2,500 times larger

      • Some estimate 8,000 times larger

      • Tuff is denser than ash

    • Enough to bury Wyoming 38ft deep

Second Eruption

  • 1.3 million years ago

  • Island Park Caldera

  • 15-mile wide hole

  • 67 cubic miles of rock

Most recent eruption

  • 631,000 years ago

  • 45 by 30-mile hole 

  • 1,000 times larger than Mt. St. Helens

  • 245 cubic miles of debris 

Volcanism on a Grand Scale

  • Largest known center of active volcanism on any continent

    • As opposed to on the ocean bottom

  • Mammoth Lakes is ¼ as large as Yellowstone 

  • Yards of ash covered Minnesota, Iowa, Missouri, and parts of Mexico

  • Basalt flows as recently as 200,000 years ago

  • Rhyolite flows less than 70,000 years ago

Rocks from Volcanic Ash

  • Hot ash fell and hardened into Tuff

  • Huckleberry Ridge tuff 500-2,500 ft thick 

    • ~800 at the south entrance 

  • Secondary eruption

    • 500ft thick Mesa Falls Tuff

  • Third eruption

    • Lava Creek Tuff is 1,600 feet thick

    • The floor collapsed 1,000 ft

    • Lava flowed from fault edges

    • The north side of Madison Canyon is the caldera edge

Going with the Flow

  • Each eruption is followed by smaller explosive eruptions

    • The largest was 50 times larger than Mt. St. Helens

    • ~30 lava flows composed of rhyolite 

  • The Upper Geyser Basin exists because of the surrounding lava flows

  • The edges of the caldera produce most lava flows

    • Extensional faulting 

  • 1.3 million-year-old columnar basalt at calcite springs

The Domes: Resurgent Yellowstone 

  • 2 domes

  • Started as hills of rhyolite

  • Sour Creek dome

    • Older of two (600,000 years)

    • 6 by 10 miles

    • 6 miles north of the Fishing Bridge

  • Mallard Lake dome

    • 150,000 years old

    • 7 by 5 miles

  • The presence of grabens on each suggests upward expansion

  • Duel conduits give caldera its elongate shape

Hot water and steam eruptions

  • Hydrothermal eruptions

    • Create phreatic craters 

Chapter 4

How Yellowstone Works

“Active, breathing, volcano”

Has reshaped the landscape of 25% of the US

Heat is Yellowstone's driving force

  • Conduction: hotter rocks warm colder rocks

    • ~25% of the heat

  • Connection: hot water movement 

    • ~75% of the heat

    • Drives geysers

  • The hottest borehole temperature is 460 degrees F

  • 5 gigawatts per day

    • Enough to power 2 million homes

  • No oil near YNP

    • Heat has degraded it


Hot rocks in the Earth's crust

  • rocks are less dense than elsewhere 

  • Highly fractured

  • Data gathered by tomology 

    • Speed of seismic waves in rock

  • 3,000 to 6,000-foot-deep rhyolite top

    • Sediment capping it

  • Pluton extends from 3 to 8 miles below 

    • Only 20%-30% molten

  • Fractured rhyolite acts like a sponge

Geysers and Hotsprings

  • “The place where hell bubbled up”

    • Jim Bridger

  • “Geysir” is Icelandic for gushing

  • Located where groundwater can easily sink into the ground

    • Valleys between lava flows

    • Active faults

    • Caldera rim fracture zone

  • Once a geyser starts erupting, it is self-perpetuating 

  • Old Faithful

    • 2’ x 5’ at the surface

    • 4” constriction below

    • 2-5 minute eruptions

    • 244°F below the surface 

    • 8,500 gallons of water 

  • Hot springs occur when water isn’t trapped or pressurized

  • Fumaroles are steam vents only

  • Acidic water

    • Dissolved pants of people sitting on damp ground 

    • Ground sounds hollow

  • Geyserite deposits and sinter made of silica and opal

  • Mammoth travertine 

    • Calcium carbonate


Thermus aquaticus

  • Discovered in the mid-1960s

  • Thomas Brock was the discoverer

  • Kerry Mullis used it in the mid-1980s 

    • Used Taq Polymerase to speed up the PCR reaction

    • 1993 Nobel Prize

Earthquakes in Yellowstone 

  • Hayden expedition in 1871 had “Earthquake Camp”

    • Along Yellowstone Lake

  • 800 x 120-mile intermountain seismic belt

    • YNP is 1% of the belt

    • Provides 20 percent of the energy

  • 1st seismographs in the early 1970s

Basin and Range Earthquakes

  • Sierra Nevadas to Wasatch

  • Stretching creates normal faults

  • Creates dramatic mountains

Volcanic Earthquakes

  • Often swarm quakes

    • Similar size and locale

    • Many small earthquakes

  • Earthquakes in the caldera are smaller than those outside

    • <5.0

  • Shallower inside the caldera

    • 2 miles vs 10-12 miles

Geysers need earthquakes

  • Old faithful times changed

    • 1959- 7.2 Hebgen Lake quake

    • 1983- Borah Peak, ID

    • 1998- small quake storm in YNP

  • Constant cracking of the Earth's crust allows corridors for water to reach the surface

The shifting shoreline

  • The western half of the lake is in the caldera

  • 5 terraces on the lake shore

    • Each from a different lake level

    • Old benches 

    • 1,000 years each

  • Caldera bulges up and edges sink

Huffs and puffs from the Caldera

  • 1970s trees on the south shore were inundated by water

    • Caused by the rise of Caldera

      • Up 30 inches 1923-1972

      • Up 10 inches 1970-1984

      • Down 8 inches 1985-1995

  • Rise and fall caused by deep magma movement


The broken earth

Why the Tetons Are Grand

The Teton Fault

  • A few thousand 7-7.5 earthquakes in the past 13 million years 

  • Usually 3-6 feet of movement

  • 23,000 feet of offset in 13 million years

  • 2.8 billion-year-old Gneiss and Schist

  • 2.4 billion-year-old granitic rocks 

    • Displaced by 33,000 feet

  • Last magnitude 7+ 

    • 4,840-7,090

    • “Overdue”

Trios Tetons

  • Coined by French-Canadian Trappers

  • “He must of been of a most susceptible nature, I would fain believe, long a dweller amid those solitudes, who could trace in the cold and barren peaks any resemblance to a woman's bosom”

    • Nathaniel Langford 1869

  • Many trappers until the 1830s

    • Trade collapsed

  • The National Forest was created in 1908

    • Most turned into a national park in 1929

    • Jackson Hole National Monument 1943

    • Full National Park created in 1950

Topography of the Tetons

  • 40 miles by 15 miles

  • Steep on the eastern face

  • Gentle on the western face

  • Jackson Hole 

    • 10 miles by 50 miles

    • Basement rock tilted 45*

      • 10 miles below the surface at the base of the Tetons 

    • Glaciation up to 14,000 years before present

    • A drop of the floor twice the distance of the uplift

Faulted earth, flowing water

  • High peaks east of the continental divide 

    • Very unusual

    • Eastern slopes have very powerful streams

    • Valley floor slopes ~1* west

    • Jackson Lake

      • 16 miles long

      • Drains east despite the western slopes

        • Moraines

Birth of a Fault

  • 13 million years ago

  • Rocky Mountains

    • 80-30 million years ago

    • Compression by colliding plates

    • Created thrusts and overthrust faults

      • Gentle 30* slopes

    • Wyoming Overthrust Belt

      • Stocks folded and pushed over each other

      • Trapped oil and gas

  • 34 million years ago

    • Gros Ventre and the Tetons were connected as a high plateau

    • The Farallon plate fully subducts

    • The relative motion of the North American and Pacific plates shifts to N/S movement

      • Allows extensional faulting 

  • Basin and Range formation

    • 200 miles of crystal stretching 

    • Normal fault every 15-2-0 miles to the eastern sierras

    • The Basin and Range started 17 million years ago

      • The Teton fault is younger than that

      • Colter formation 15-17 million years ago

        • Lake sediments

        • Angular unconformity with the Teewinot formation 

        • Marks the fault activation around 13 million years ago

Modern Earthquakes

  • No major earthquakes in historic times

  • Mild-moderate earthquakes in the 1900s-1930s

  • No northern quakes in historic times

Shaking, Sliding, and Flooding

  • The Gros Ventre slide was caused by an earthquake 

    • In addition to the wet spring and summer

    • May 18th is the same as Mt. St. Helens

    • 50 million cubic yards of rock

    • 2,100ft x 2000ft x 225ft 

  • Slide Lake

    • 3 miles long

    • The upper 50 feet failed in 1927

    • 6 feet of water through Wilson

    • $500,000 in damage ($8.8 million in 2023 money)

Volcanism in the Tetons

  • Uplift causes deviation

  • 9 million years ago 

    • Volcanics in Southern Tetons

    • 4 million years ago, “Conant Creek” tuff

      • Signal mountain 

    • 2 million years ago, Huckleberry Ridge Tuff

      • Track fault movement 

Timing of Big Earthquakes

  • Huckleberry Ridge Tuff is 13,000ft higher than parts of Jackson Hole

    • 6feet every 900 years 

    • 7.0+ every 3,400 years

      • Most recent 7,100 to 4,800 years ago

      • 9 Scarps between 14,000 and 4,800 years ago

    • Earthquakes occur at different rates at different parts of the fault

    • The average of 2,000 years in between major earthquakes

    • Earthquakes don’t occur at consistent rates

    • Basin and Range will continue

    • It could be a dormant fault at this point

Chapter 6

Ice over Fire

“Glaciers carve the Landscape.”

The last big glaciers retreated 14,000 years ago

On each major ice age, 3,500-foot-thick ice caps formed over Yellowstone 

Ice helped sculpt the Grand Canyon of the Yellowstone 

Helped sharpen the Teton spires

Melting ice flooded streams and rivers 

  • Cut terraces along the Snake River 

What are Glaciers?

  • Large, moving masses of ice

  • Formed when snow accumulates winter after winter and is compressed to form ice

  • Temperatures remain cool enough through the year to not fully melt last year's snow

  • Grow in cool times and retreat in warm times

  • Large masses called ice caps

    • Whole mountain ranges

  • Smaller masses called “alpine glaciers”

  • Boulders, rocks, gravel, sand, and flour become trapped in ice

    • Rock flour suspended in water gives a turquoise appearance 

The Big Chill- “The Pleistocene Epoch”

  • 1.6 million years ago to 10,000 years ago

  • Average 7*F cooler

  • Continental ice sheet

    • Did not reach YNP

    • YNP is covered by a large ice cap

2 Major Glacial Periods on Earth

  • 600-800 million years ago

  • 200-300 million years ago

  • Complicated causes

What produces large-scale glaciation?

  • Ocean currents, continental arrangement, orbit, rotation, and tilt

  • No definitive cause  for the Pleistocene

  • A volcanic eruption is too short-lived

A Land of Fire and Ice

  • 10 known hydrothermal explosion craters in YNP

    • Some with glacial debris

  • Lava flows up to 70,000 years ago

  • 1,700 feet of uplift

    • YNP chilled 8°F

Time of Glaciers

  • 3 major glaciations

    • Non-consensus on the dates

  • Buffalo Glaciation

    • 2-1.3 million years ago

    • Little known

  • Bull Lake Glaciation

    • 125,000- 45,000 years ago

    • 10+ glacial advances and retreats

    • More extensive than previous ages

    • 125 miles of ice

      • Covered from Absorokas to South Park

      • Debris covers Signal Mountain 

  • Pinedale Glaciation 

    • 50,000 - 14,000 years ago

    • Best known

    • 3,500-foot ice cap (10,500 feet altitude)

    • 80 miles North to South by 60 miles East to West 

    • Lasted until 12,000 Years ago

      • Started retreating 14,000 years ago 

  • Today

    • 11 small glaciers remain

    • Remnants from the Little Ice Age

      • 1400s to 1800s

A River Runs Through It

  • Glaciers retreated

    • Flood waters released 

  • Outwash plains pocked by “kettles”

    • Pothole depressions

  • 140-foot terraces in Jackson Hole

Birth of the Big Lakes

  • Jackson Lake 

    • 13 Million Years ago 

    • Glacially carved

    • 16 miles by 6 miles

    • 437 feet deep at the base of the mountains 

    • 800-foot trough gouged by lice

    • Glacial moraine diverted the Snake River to the east of Signal Mountain 

      • 100-300 foot tall 

  • Yellowstone Lake

    • 2 million years ago 

    • 20 miles by 13 miles

    • 3 basins

      • 325 East Side

      • 200 South Arm

      • 280 west thumb

    • Most of the lake was formed from volcanism 

      • 631,000 years ago

    • LeHardy rapids are located along multiple faults 

    • The South and Southeast arms are glacially carved 

Chapter 7

Future Disaster 

“The greatest laboratory that nature furnishes on the surface of the globe”

  • The complex relationships among Yellowstone National Park flora, fauna, and geology helped inspire America’s budding conservation ethic

  • The idea of GYE recognizes that its living and geological wonders extend beyond the boundaries of the park

  • GYE is roughly defined by a 6,100-foot boundary

    • Critical to temperature and moisture

  • Expansive lodgepole pine due to rhyolitic soils

  • Grizzly forage patterns predicted by soil geology

  • Trout jacuzzis in Lake Yellowstone

  • Volcanic minerals foster plant growth in the Firehole 

  • Greater Yellowstone Geoecosystem 

Nightmare on the Teton Fault

  • When the fault ruptures again, it will be a worst-case scenario

    • Violent shaking 

    • 30+ seconds

    • Landslides along the Teton Range

    • 12-foot-tall cliffs will pop into existence

    • Streams and rivers will be blocked

    • Jackson dam failure

      • 6ft or larger waves across Jackson Lake 

      • 5 hours until the water hits Moose, WY

Betting on Seismic Disaster - Teton Fault 

  • Major quake every 680-4,000 years

  • Most recent quake 4,840- 7,090 years 

  • Capable of a 7.0+ quake

  • 5 faults capable of such in GYE

    • Teton, Hebgen, Red Mt, South Arm, Gallatin

    • 13 quakes in the last 25,000 years

      • 1 per 2000 years

    • 1/250 chance per year that one fault in the GYE goes

  • A low chance doesn’t mean no chance 

When will Yellowstone Erupt Again?

  • It is expected to erupt again 

    • Currently, hot, molten rock is just miles beneath 

  • Potential for a variety of eruptions

    • Hydrothermal explosions

    • Lava flows- “Mt. St. Helens volume”

  • Caldera forming 

    • Least likely

    • Neodymium deposits in recent flow indicate imminent eruption 

Pompeii USA

  • 12 million years ago, eastern Nebraska

    • Ashfall Fossil Beds State Park

  • Perfectly preserved flora and fauna

  • Eruption now

    • Several feet of ash in Jackson and Bozeman 

    • Global famine caused by the destruction of 50% of the world's cereal grains 

Volcanin Odds

  • No single method to estimate 

  • 1 in 146,000 annual chance

  • 70,000 years since the major lava flow

    • Average 50,000 years 


The Future Hotspot 

  • The North American plate is moving 1 inch per year 

  • The new caldera would be in the Beartooths

  • “Yellowstone Famous Potatoes”

  • But most basin and range stretched crust has already passed over the hotspot

    • Now at a cooler and thicker crust

    • Squeezed not stretched