25 Years of Wolves in Yellowstone

Chapter 1

Historical and Ecological Context for Wolf Recovery

“We killed off wolves- it was government policy. Then we brought them back”

Carnivore guild recovery

Looking back to look forward

  • Haines 1977 3 part history*

  • Whittlesey 2006, 2007, 2015

Wolves are a symbol of wilderness and the West was being settled.

Wolf History and NPS Policy

  • 1st account

    • John Weavers: “Wolves of Yellowstone”

      • 1978 survey found no wolves

      • Recommended reintroduction

    • Doug Houston

      • 1982 Predators of Elk

      • Recommended reintroduction

    • “Wolves for Yellowstone?” Report (1990 and 1992)

      • ESA, EIS, NPS, USFWS

  • The Founding goal of Yellowstone was incomplete without wolves

Prolonged fight over:

  • “Natural”

  • “Game species”

1800’s

  • Ecology unknown

  • “Ecosystem used first in 1935

1900’s

  • Preservation mindset, ill-formed ideas of ecosystems

  • 1916 Organic Act

    • NPS

    • “Parks as scenic beauty”

    • “To conserve the scenery and the natural and historical objects and the wildlife therein.”

    • No idea of top-down forcing

Pre-Park History

  • 15,000 years of wolves

    • Stable for 3,200 years

  • Pre-1916 wolves had twice the genetic diversity of modern wolves

    • The population of 100,000 continent-wide

  • Subspecies

    • 1944: 24 subspecies 

      • Morphology C.l irremortus

    • 1995: 5 species 

      • Genetic C. l. Nubilus

      • Primary subspecies

    • The exact distribution of these subspecies is unknown as wolves disperse long distances and lack reproductive barriers. 

    • Rapid and great variation in behavior and morphology leaves ecotypes as a better way to characterize wolves.

    • Western influence began in the late 1700s 

      • Intensified in the 1860s

        • Fur trade in the 1820s took wolves (also beavers!!)

      • Introduced diseases

      • Introduced horses

      • Trade with natives

    • YNP is one of the few areas that never;

      • Fenced

      • Mined

      • Logged

      • Grazzed 

    • Not pristine or natural

      • Predator control

      • Fire suppression

      • Removal of natives

      • Bison ranching, elk culling

1836-1839 abundant wildlife

Wildlife extirpation dates

  • Wolves 1929

  • Cougars 1930

  • Coyotes 1940

Park History

  • 1871-1885: Mining camps in Cooke City hosted miners who killed everything 

    • Poisoned ungulates with strychnine

  • - 1885+ military called in to stop the slaughter 

    • Increased ungulates

    • Decreased predators: control matters taken

  • 1934- 1968 Elk Control

    • Woody plants vs. grasses growth

      • Too many elk?!

      • No Aspen recruitment for 100 years

  • 1963: Leopold Report

    • “Natural regulation”

      • Less human conflict 

      • Maintaining ecological processes

      • Elk reduction ended

      • Pave the way for wolves

    • The elk herd swelled to 20,000 in the northern range

Chapter 2

How Wolves Returned to Yellowstone

“Are we really better off without wolves in the wilder parts of our forests and ranges?”

  • Aldo Leopold

Paved the way and placed YNP at the forefront of every wolf discussion to come

Changing Viewpoints 

  • Appreciated by Indigenous 

  • Associated with evil by whites

  • 1915, the USFWS killed wolves in the West.

  • 1916-1926 NPS killed 136 wolves

  • 1940’s-1970’s less than 10 wolves were killed

  • 1970’s- 1980’s, more study led to more understanding

    • Increased acceptance

    • More radio telemetry work

    • Rumors of wolves in YNP

      • No evidence found

    • Endangered Species Act 1973

      • Wolves listed!

  • 1986 The Magic Pack

    • Denned in Glacier National Park

    • First wolves in the US Rocky Mountains

    • Some ate cattle

Canis lupus politicus

  • 1986 and 1987 Pro vs Anti-wolf camps

  • 1988 Wolf Management team

  • ESA 10(i) reintroduction of “non-essential experimental” population

    • More management flexibility

    • Eliminated ESA review

    • Allowed USFWS to manage human conflict more quickly

  • Defender of Wildlife compensated ranchers for livestock killed by wolves

  • L. David Mech 

    • Biologist and wolf advocate

  • Dick Cheney is strongly anti-wolf

  • “The oft-cited narrative of economic impact is a mask for the concerns of power loss through the changing west”

  • Ranchers, not fans

    • Loss of control

    • Inability to find remains

  • “Wolves for Yellowstone?”

    • Study of potential wolf effects 

    • 592 pages penned in 1990

  1. Wolf control

    1. Inside vs. outside of YNP

  2. Prey affects

  3. Grizzly effects

  4. Recovery zone layout

  • Conclusions

    • No major effects on prey populations, big game, or grizzly

    • 150 wolves in/near the park

      • 7-9 packs in north/central YNP

    • Volumes 3 and 4

      • 750 pages

      • Prehistory, historic populations, sociology, economics, other relocation outcomes

  • Anti-wolf Idaho senator introduced a proposal to reintroduce wolves

    • Fear of wolves being put on ESL

    • More management options

    • Bill would immediately delist the wolves

      • Bill died

      • 10-member Wolf Management Committee

  • Pro-wolf = Anti-reintroduction

    • Weakened ESA protections


Economic Impact Statement

  • 1994

  • Recommended reintroduction as a “nonessential experimental population” to both YNP and Central Idaho

    • Allowed removal of wolves by agents and authorized citizens 

Reintroduction Efforts

  • Where to obtain wolves?

  • Monitor “donor populations”?

  • Transportation?

  • Release type?

  • What time of year?

  • Demographics?

  • Homing tendency concerns?

Western Canadian Wolves

  • Mountainous habitat

  • Similar prey base

  • 15 wolves per year over 3-5 years

  • Family groups in YNP

  • Unrelated Young Adults in Idaho

  • 3 months in acclimation pen

    • 1-2 acres

    • 5 miles apart

    • 7 pens total

  • November capture, February release

    • Republican congress voted in 1995

    • Wyoming lawsuit December 21-23 1994

    • Reintroduction could continue during litigation 

Capture and Transportation 

  • Capture team

    • Veterinarians, marksmen, pilots, biologists, spotters, trappers

  • Crop conditions

    • Too little snow, too much forest

  • 28 wolves

    • 11 packs

    • 11 days

  • Additional trapped wolves were released

  • 14 wolves to YNP in 3 packs

  • 15 to Idaho

  • 12 left in Alberta

  • American Farm Bureau appeal

    • 10 circuit court

    • 48-hour stay

      • Kept wolves in boxes

      • Ice cubes used for hydration

    • 90 hours in Idaho

First YNP Pens

  • Crystal Creek

  • Soda Butte Creek

  • Rose Creek

Wolves reluctant to leave pens

  • $750,000 in 1995

  • USFWS cut funding in 1996

    • Charities made up the shortfall

1996 Fort St. John, BC

  • -40 degree temps, deep snow

  • 53 wolves were captured in 12 days

  • 4 groups to YNP (6,5,4,2)

  • 20 to Idaho

  • $267,000

1997 Montana Pups (10)

  • 86 YNP wolves in total 

    • 9 packs


Reflections

  • All wolf descendants only from reintroduced wolves 

    • 2005 genetic analysis

    • Confirms extirpation of wolves

  • The effects on hunting and livestock will always be an issue

    • Remain vigilant

    • Requires management


*The Ecology of Large Mammals in Central Yellowstone” (Garott)

*Yellowstone's Wildlife in Transition 


Chapter 3

Essential Biology of the Wolf


Jack of all Trades, Master of none

  • Widest distribution

  • All animals, alive, and scavenged, and plants

  • Exemplifies a generalist

  • Long snout, moderate bite force

    • Better sense of smell

  • A large variety of teeth

  • The wolf is kept fed by his feet

    • Concentration of leg muscles near the body

    • Digitigrade posture

    • Speed and distance

      • 1-5 mph walk

      • 31 mph run

      • 10-20 miles on an average day

      • 52 miles maximum per day

  • Hungry like a wolf

    • Fasts for 10-17 days

    • Potentially 67-117 days

    • Fast recovery

      • 7%-8% over 2 days


Live fast, Die young

Knowledge of Life history is a key to ecological understanding

  • Generation time 

  • Pups born in dens in mid-April

    • 63-day gestation

    • Nurse for 2 months 

  • Pups moved to rendezvous site at 2-3 months 

  • 4-5-month-old pups follow adults

  • Fully nomadic at 6 months 

  • Gain 80% of weight in 1 year

    • Burst speed plateaus, leading to the conclusion that the additional 20% is fat

    • (Bobby thinks this just means it’s non-leg muscle; bone density, biting muscle, and mostly fat)

  • Mass growth ends at 5-6 years old

  • Males and Females grow at the same rate

  • Males 4 cm taller and 7 cm longer

  • 6-8 month growth period

  • 661M 153 lbs, the heaviest wolf ever at 7 years old


Reproduction

  • Numerous factors affect success

  • #1 Female body size

    • More puppies and more survival

  • Average 4-5 pups

    • 1-3 Survival 

  • Females breed in the third season


Aging

  • Males peak at 5

  • Females peak at 6

    • Reduced reproduction at 4-5 years

  • Median lifespan 6 years


Resilient species

  • Rapid growth

  • Early maturation

  • High reproductive rates

  • Short generation time

  • Contributed to Ice Age survival



Chapter 4 

Ecology of the Pack


First natural pack 2M 7F

  • Leopold pack

  • 7 Liters

  • Archetypical


Formation of a pack

  • The pack structure is flexible

  • What is a “pack”?

    • Centered around a Male/Female bonded pair

    • All associated wolves that spend the winter breeding period together

  • Lone wolves

    • Temporary status 

    • Dispersing animals 

    • 10-15% of population

  • 36 packs in Park History

    • 5 classic formations

    • 30 group dispersal or pack-splitting events

    • Pack splitting 

      • Occur when large numbers of breeding-age adults occupy a single pack and generate friction within the pack

    • Group dispersal (most common)

      • 2 or more wolves leave a pack and join with other wolves

    • Same pack mates vs. pack mating 

      • Group dispersal represents a less risky survival strategy


Pack Longevity

  • The outcome of demographic processes

  • Longer-lived packs had better pup and breeder survival


Pack Size and Composition

  • Estimated via mid-winter counts 

  • 2-37 wolves per pack

    • 10 wolf average

      • 8 pre-puppy average

  • Pack size unrelated to prey size (2003) 

    • Conflicting results (1993 and 1998) 

  • Typically 50:50 male-to-female ratio

    • Can skew strongly

  • ⅓ of the pack are puppies

  • Breakdown

    • 3-4 yearlings (10-24 months)

    • 4-5 prime-age adults (2-5 years)

    • 1 old adult (6 or older)

  • Relatedness

    • Most wolves' first or second-order relatives

    • Alphas unrelated 


Hierarchical Relationships

  • Idea of alphas from captivity

  • Countered by parents being dominant over offspring 

  • We still assign alpha status 

    • Dominant behavior

    • Primary breeders

    • Direct the pack activities 


New Categories

  • Dominant breeders

  • Subordinate breeders

  • Subordinate non-breeders


Activities mainly directed by dominant wolves, subordinates can lead in “complex packs.”

Leadership is shared labor, but females have greater power

Subordinate labor division

  • Females directly care for pups

  • Males' food acquisition and defense


Mating

  • Long held to be monogamous 

  • 25% of breedings are “plural”

  • Evolutionary history of polygamy 

    • Sexual dimorphism

    • Male competition 


Breeding strategies 

  • Why natal philopatry

    • Increased survival 

    • Interpack opportunities

    • Territory inheritance

    • Kin selection

    • Constraints on mates and territory

  • “Wolf breeding strategies are borderline voyeuristic.”


Inbreeding rare

  • Except in isolated situations

  • Recognize familiar individuals 

Females more likely to inherit breeding status

  • Moves toward matrilineal 


Males gain breeder status mostly by dispersal.


Different strategies reflect the different costs and benefits of males and females.


Consequences of cooperation

  • Midwinter breeding season

  • 61-63 day gestation

  • Late April birth

  • Emerge in late May

  • Weaned at 5-8 weeks


How is a mother wolf's performance impacted by her pack?

  • Litter size increases with pack size

    • Peak at 8 adults (6 pups)

    • Declines after

  • Pup survival increases with pack size

    • No limit

  • The number one factor in pup survival is the number of adult males

    • Better-fed mothers and young

    • Increased safety

  • Multiple breeding females strongly reduced puppy survival 

    • An exception is 2000’s druids with 20 of 21 

  • All this creates pressure for females to maintain a beneficial sex ratio

    • This rarely happens 


The Adaptive Value of Wolf Society

  • Maximized “inclusive fitness”

    • Take into account shared genes

  • Why are wolves in packs?

    • Territory defense

    • Group hunting 

    • Food defense

    • Kin selection

    • Cooperative breeding



Chapter 5

Territoriality and competition between wolf packs


First documented by Adolf Murie in 1940 in Denali National Park

  • Reaffirmed by Mech

Since 1995- 2020

  • 97 wolves killed by others

  • 6 times more than any other cause


Measuring Territoriality 

  • Aggression relating to relationship to place 

  • At ease with conspecifics (elk) (0)

  • Fights account for major mortality (wolves) 10

  • Society depends on providing for their immediate family and ingroup. The greatest similarity to people


Territoriality in Yellowstone

  • Avoidance

    • Scent marking (smell 1000x times better than humans)

    • Howling

      • Avoided by smaller packs

      • Sound caries 15km


Direct Interpack Aggression

  • 444 aggressive chases observed

    • 20% physical attacks (88)

    • 5% led to death 

  • Only 10% of interactions were aggressive

    • Most at night

  • Aggression varies with population density and overlap


Wolf Densities 

  • 100/1000 km Yellowstone

  • 40/1000 km Minnesota

  • 3-10/1000km Denali

Recent densities 40/1000km


Competition influenced by prey abundance

  • Elk from 20,000 to 7,500

    • 1995- 2003

  • Elk migration brings wolves into competition


The disease may affect interactions

  • Mange increases scavenging

    • Increases aggressive interactions


Individual personalities are also at play

  • 07-08 2 males bred with several young females, chased off 25 times


Seasonal Aggression

  • Winter leading up to mating means increased aggression

  • 1-week estrus

    • Corresponds with peak aggression

  • Testosterone drops after breeding season

  • Denning early creates a stationary target and a greater disadvantage

    • 13-day siege recorded, 2006 Slough Creek

    • Used by many packs

      • Sigh of 3 of 8 den attacks

      • One of few dens visible from the road

  • Spring attacks are particularly deadly as some packs are whole and others are denned and dispersed


Mapping

  • Started low and increased rapidly

  • 16 packs max in 2004

  • 2009 “equilibrium”

    • No shift in density

    • Subtle pack changes


Individual Behavior

  • Males increase aggression with age

  • Females stable aggression

  • 1.6% per wolf aggression (?)

  • Gray wolves are more aggressive 

    • K locus, melanocortin system

    • Increased cortisol levels

    • Immune system function decreases perhaps


Agate Creek Pack

  • An inordinate number of alphas

    • Why?


Attacks on Individuals

  • Pups least likely to be attacked

    • Breeders often targeted

  • Breeders most to lose thus most aggressive animals

  • Packmates help draw wolves away 29% of the time

    • 50% effective


Conflict Resolution

  • Larger packs mean greater chances of winning 

    • 20% larger = 80% chance of winning

  • Older animals (6+) punch above their weight class

    • 2.5:1

  • Rarely are old animals driven out of the pack

    • 113M raised pups after his prime, so took over as alpha

    • 810F Junction female with injury was cared for by a pack

  • Can seem counterintuitive

    • Don’t kill old puppies

      • Doesn’t signal a new estrus

    • Adopting adults

  • Group dispersal common

    • Avoid the lone wolf phase

    • Immediately control territory

    • Insulate from the death of the breeder


Conclusions

  • Dynamic 

    • Wolf density

    • Prey abundance

    • Pack size and composition

    • Individuality

  • The most successful wolves are the ones that best live with many others

  • Wolves live for today

    • “I’m here, It’s today, so it’s a good day”




Chapter 6

Population Dynamics and Demography


2007 94 wolves in 8 packs

2012 34 wolves in 4 packs


3 Disease outbreaks

2 Recoveries

  • Why?


Elk is down 75% from all-time high 

  • Food is the key regulator of populations

  • How? 

    • Increased productivity

    • Increased recruitment

    • Increased longevity

    • Decreased dispersal

    • Decreased conflict


Undulate Biomass Index

  • In the absence of human-wolf conflict, density is set by prey biomass

  • Converts prey to common units

    • 1 Elk = 3 Deer


4 Vital rates

  • Birth

  • Death

  • Immigration

  • Emigration


Alternative hypothesis

  • Intrinsic regulation 

    • Intraspecific strife

Which vital rates matter most?


Colonization Phase

  • 2 packs bred in the acclimation pen

    • Rose Creek (8)

    • Soda butte (1)

  • Few illegal killings

  • Rapid population growth


1995 14-17 elk per square km in the northern range

  • Subsystems

    • Northern range =10%

    • Park interior = 90%

    • Different ecosystems

      • Sage vs forest

      • Hydrothermal 

      • Elevation

      • Snowfall

2020: 35-98 wolves per 1000 km in the northern range

          10-20 wolves per 1,000 km in park interior


Phases

  1. Colonization phase

    1. Rapid growth and die-offs

  2. Saturation phase

    1. Stable population

  3. What’s next?


Reproduction

“Fast life history”

  • Productivity, plural breedings, recruitment, young breeding age

Stats (280 liters)

  • 4.7 pups per litter

  • 1-11 pups per litter

  • 25% plural breedings

  • Leopold pack 25 pups in 2008

    • Less plural breedings in the interior

    • Also less well-studied

  • Less plural breedings now 

    • The difference is food abundance

  • High pup survival: 70-90%

    • <30% after distemper

    • Most pup mortality in the summer

      • Differs from other wolves

Survival factors

  • Female size

  • Female coat color

  • Female age

  • Pack size

  • Population density

Survival

  • 80% of mortality human-caused

  • Yellowstone rare place where natural mortality dominates

    • 40% wolf on wolf

    • 9% wolf on prey

  • Short lives result when you are killing things bigger than you are with your face”


4 Life Stages

  1. Puppy (<12 months)

  2. Yearling (12-24 months)

  3. Adult (2-6 years)

  4. Old Adult (6+ years)


Median age 5.9 years

  • Natural survival pattern

Most packs have at least one old adult

  • Beneficial to pack survival

  • Wolf can live 11-15 years in the absence of people

Survival Rates of 70%-80% per year

  • Unrelated to prey abundance

  • Mostly unrelated to the disease 

    • Except 2008 CDV

  • Most adults die in winter


Dispersal

  • The most difficult vital rates to quantify

  • May buffer population swings

Different dispersal strategies depend on:

  • Age

  • Sex

  • Ecological conditions

Males tend to disperse

Females are philopatric

>50% of dispersal wolves are 1-3 years old

  • Decline after age 2

Nobody knows why some wolves are tolerated and others aren’t

  • Maybe personality?

Most dispersal in late fall and winter

  • Near breeding season


Population density inversely correlates with wolf dispersal

  • <8% since 2008

  • Accessed population via howls and scent marks

    • Often make short excursions before deciding to leave or not

Dispersal doesn’t mean immigration


Very low Immigration into Yellowstone

  • “Yellowstone Fortress”


Females disperse when males have long breeding tenors

  • YNP males have 2-3 year typical tenor

    • Not long, females stay longer 

  • Outside of the park human kills keep wolf densities low and encourage M/F dispersal

Group dispersal also unique to YNP

  • Low human mortalities

  • Higher population density


Modeling vital rates

  • Math to show which rates are most important 

    • Important to help us understand exploited populations

    • Demographic models rare for wolves

  • Stochastic and deterministic models

    • Deterministic rates stayed the same

    • Stochastic rates varied within bounds

  • Take-aways

    • Adult survival strongest correlate to population growth

      • #1 yearling survival

      • #2 year old survival

      • #3 Old adult survival 

    • Biomass determines wolf densities

    • Adult wolves higher survival rate than puppies


Survival is density-dependent

  • Intrinsic regulation 

Recruitment is prey-dependent

  • Extrinsic regulation

Wolf territoriality keeps the population lower than the individuals




Chapter 7

Genetics

  • 39 chromosomes

  • Genotype vs phenotypes


Hot Springs to Wolf DNA

  • 1960’s Thermus aquaticus 

    • Heat-stable enzyme Taq polymerase

      • Allowed rapid DNA replication

      • 1989 molecule of the year

      • PCR and Kary Mulis Nobel Prize


Wolf DNA from all founders collected

  • All collared wolf DNA collected

  • Wolf Project has vast amounts of data


Research

  • Microsatellite loci

    • Relatedness

    • Population dynamics

  • Single nucleotide polymorphisms (Snips)

    • Reveal recent adaptations

    • Preserved region over evolution

  • Genome sequencing 

    • Deep answers to questions

    • See what genes expressed in relation to ecological conditions

    • Population structure, pedigree, coat color, natural selection, life history


Pedigrees to population structure

  • Pioneering genetic study of 200 wolves

    • 26 microsatellite loci

    • Parentage, pair characteristics, pack structure

    • High-level diversity

      • Low inbreeding

  • Increased diversity

    • Large founding population

    • 3 distinct founding populations

    • Social animals with low inbreeding

  • YNP wolves part of GYE wolves

    • Genetic connectivity is a primary stipulation for delisting wolves

    • vonHoldt found this true

      • 21 migrants in the first 15 years

      • “Genetically effective dispersal”

        • 5.4 wolves per generation

      • Uneven dispersal

        • No immigration into YNP first 10 years

        • Have been documented since

          • Founder of 8-mile pack

  • Work has consequences for future endangered species reintroduction

    • Conservation genetics


Life histories to evolutionary histories

  • Ancestry of canids

    • Similar to commercial tests


North American canids have been exchanging genes for 100s of generations

  • Represents a unique species complex

    • Yellowstone wolves true gray wolves

    • Western coyotes are true coyotes

    • Eastern wolves (Canis lycaon) and Red Wolves (Canis lupus) are unique mixtures of two

 

Domestic dogs around for 40,000 years

  • Genetic changes occurred

    • Similar to human hyper-gregarious behavior

      • William-beuren syndrome

      • Potential link to domestication 

Heritability

  • Yellowstone is unique

    • Well studied behaviors

    • Well studied genetics 

    • Well studied ecosystem

  • Case Study on Aggression

    • Aggression is 28% genetic

Gene expression

  • Means of adaptation over the lifetime of an individual 

  • Wolf DNA and RNA tell us how a wild genome functions


Epigenetics

  • Chemical modification of DNA regulating how, when, and where genes are expressed

Methylation (CH3) to cytosine

  • Turn off expression at the site 

  • New genetic technologies allow us to see if genes are methylated

Deeply conserved epigenetics

  • Epigenetics of aggressive dogs

RNA- instructions for making molecules

  • RNA reflects current gene expression

    • Age, rank, sex, coat, and mange affect gene expression.

      • No correlation unlike humans

    • Age #1 indicator of epigenetic expression

      • Similar to elderly humans 


Wolves and Genomics

  • Genes diagnostic of wolves

    • Probe the canine admixture

302M “Cassanova”

  • Father to the first confirmed mixed puppies (?)





Chapter 8

The K Locus


Adolf Murie 1940’s

  • Used color as an ID

  • Speculated that color variation due to interbreeding with dogs

    • An equal number of black and grays

Coat color genes senescence 

  • Turns to silver and white fur

25 gray 16 black wolves reintroduced

  • 50:50 color balance after 10 years


Color Genes and Function

  • Pleiotropy: genes that affect multiple unrelated aspects of a phenotype

  • Eumelanin and Pheomelanin

    • Modulated by 2 genes

      • Agouti and MC1R

    • Dogs in contrast have 7 genes for coat color

  • CBD103 or K Locus

    • 3 nucleotide deletion

    • K(B) = Black (dominant)

    • K(Y) = Gray (recessive)


K Locus source

  • KB arose in dogs

    • Transferred to wolves

  • “Selective sweep” in wolves

    • Black coats incurred a strong advantage

    • Leaves low genetic variation

  • Neighbor-joining tree construction

    • Grouped Ky separately

    • Grouped Kb together 

    • Kb found to be younger in wolves 

      • Thus showing the dog-to-wolf transmission


Geographic Origins

  • Capture array

    • Originated in NW North America

    • The closest Kb haplotype is in Labrador Retrievers

    • Kb originated 121,000 ybp

    • Transferred to wolves 15,000 ybp

Selection for the K Locus

  • Heterogeneous wolves have the best Darwinian fitness

  • A homozygous gray close second

  • Homozygous black very low

  • 5% of wolves in YNP KbKb (homozygous black)

  • Dismiss the adaptive camouflage hypothesis 

  • Balancing polymorphisms

  • Keep both phenotypes around

  • K locus is also a beta-defensin gene

Opposites attract

  • Positive assortment: seeking a mate similar to one's self

  • Negative assortment: seeking a mate dissimilar to one's self

    • Increases genetic diversity

    • Decreases inbreeding 

  • 64% of wolves breed with opposite coat color

    • Non-random assortment

  • Only mammal is known to negatively assort

  • Only single gene color polymorphism in vertebrates

  • The coat color mix is possibly totally explained by negative assortment 

    • No selective advantage (maybe?)

    • No mechanism for it

    • Doesn’t exclude heterosis

Effects on behavior

  • Gray coats have 25% greater pup survival

  • Black coats may divert energy to the immune system and away from ovulation and lactation

    • The system demonstrated in other animals

  • Black wolves are less aggressive than other wolves

    • 16+ year study

    • Gray wolves are 1.5 times more likely than black wolves to chase rivals

    • Opposite the findings in other animals

    • K locus secondary to nurture

  • Grays have higher basal cortisol levels

    • Decreased immune function


Immunity

CBD103 (K locus protein)

  • Beta-defensin antimicrobial peptides 

    • Released by skin, kidney, and brachial

No direct evidence of increased wolf health!

  • Canine Distemper Virus (CDV)

  • Sarcoptic mange

  • No correlation with infection rate, severity, or recovery rate

  • Surprising due to B-defensin activity on the skin

Canine Distemper Virus

  • It is a virus

  • Affects the respiratory, gastrointestinal, eyes, and nervous system


Integrative model

  • Black wolves increase with disease frequency

  • Disassortative mating is favored when disease intervals are less than 6 years apart


P.W. Norris recorded black wolves in YNP in 1881




Chapter 9 

Infectious Disease

“Reintroduction didn’t bring back all trophic levels, wolves were disease free”


Major diseases

  • Distemper

  • Mange

  • Cestodes

  • Nematodes


The study of:

  • Use antibody and PCR tests

  • Prior to reintroduction coyotes and foxes carried parvo, herpes, and distemper


1997

  • 100% Parvovirus 

  • 61% Adenovirus

  • 65% Herpes

  • Proved very susceptible to disease

Parvo

  • Contact with feces and nasal excretions

  • Can survive up to 6 months outside of a host

  • Viral shedding for up to 30 days

Averages are not useful 

  • VDV absent for many years but nearly 100% in others

    • Average is 37% 


Epizootic nature of CDV

  • Enzootic persists in the population

    • Herpes, parvo, adenovirus

  • Epizootic persists outside of the population 

  • Strong focus on CDV due to its effects on the population

Echinococcus: canine host for reproduction, ungulate host for growth and development

  • Tapeworm (yummy)

CDV

  • 1994: First outbreak, thought to be parvo 

    • Similar population decline on Isle Royale

  • 2005

    • Coyotes with tremors spotted

    • Pitted tooth enamel

      • Symptoms of high fever

    • Lethargic pups

    • Death within 2 weeks

  • Morbillivirus genus (scary bleed-out-of-your-eyes shit)

    • measles, phocine, distemper cetecian, morbillivirus, rinderpest 

  • Capable of infecting many carnivore species

  • Symptoms

    • Fever

    • Nasal and ocular discharge

    • Respiratory and GI involvement 

    • Impaired immune system function

    • Neurological impairment

  • High mortality in naive victims

Pup Survival

  • 70% in non-CDV years

  • 22% in CDV years

Adult Survival

  • 83% in CDV years

  • 77% in non-CDV years 

  • “No significant difference”

Resulted in a 30% population drop

Like measles, CDV has a minimum threshold on which to subsist in a population, it cannot survive year to year in the GYE


Sarcoptic mange

  • 2007: 2 Mollie wolves first to be found inside of GYE

  • 2002 saw mange outside of GYE

  • Introduced in 1900 to kill coyotes

    • 200 coyotes were live captured and then set free

  • Sarcoptes scabiei

    • Mites 

    • Burrow into the skin and produce an allergic reaction

      • Scratching leads to hair loss, skin damage, and secondary infections, lowered body conditions

    • Highly visible symptoms

      • Class 1 - 1%-5% hair loss

      • Class 2 - 6%-50% hair loss

      • Class 3 > 50% hair loss

  • Unique infections

    • Months greater than a year are considered chronic

    • Depends on immune function of animals

  • Likely enzootic

    • Here to stay

  • Mange predisposes wolves and coyotes to anthropogenic death


Populations' stable interior and northern range

  • North has 1.5 times more variable growth

  • Interior less impacted by the disease

    • Lower densities

  • No direct evidence that disease plays a role in the spatial structure of wolves

    • Yet


Sociality and disease

Faster within groups

Slower to outgroups

Questions

  1. How does the host social organization constrain or facilitate the speed of a pathogen?

  2. Are the effects of pathogens modified by the hosts' social behavior

Answers

  • It varies by pathogen

    • Increases in directly transmitted infections

      • Ex: distemper: short infection intra-pack spread increases 

      • Ex: mange: longer infections lead to population-level spread

Living in packs benefits wolves

  • Better pup rearing

  • Better hunting success

  • Better territory defense

  • Better carcass defense

  • Increased disease survival


Future direction and conclusions

  • Diseases logistically hard to define and document

  • Trophic cascade of pathogens

  • “Healthy Herd Hypothesis” Wolves help with CWD

    • Incredible at sensing and selecting infected animals




Chapter 10 

How we study Wolf-Prey Relationships


Early Techniques: stomach contents, tracking to kill sites, radio collar tracking (now GPS)

Every study since 1950 looks at prey!

  • 1958 Allen, Isle-Royale

  • 1959 Dimlot, Algonquin Park

  • 1968 Mech, Northern Minnesota

Radio collars essential to ongoing research

  • Received criticism for being “less natural”

  • “We study nature so we can preserve nature”

    • Data over opinions

18-year study on wolves in the Yukon

  • “Does killing wolves increase game?”

    • Yes caribou and moose

    • No on sheep

    • Do so all low densities

    • Aerial gunning is a poor investment

Long-term studies allow us to answer questions we didn’t know we had and generate an understanding of the system versus answering a single question

Winter Study

  • 30 days from November to December and 30 days in March

  • Studies seasonal vulnerability of prey


  • How often do wolves kill?

  • What do wolves kill?

  • Species

  • Age

  • Sex

  • Condition

  • By November 1995 ground observations were added to the study

    • Behavioral info

    • Visited carcasses 

Data Analysis

  • Minimum method

  • Kills divided by the number of wolves divided by 30 days

  • Kill interval

  • Days between kills

  • Abandoned those for the “double count” method

    • Measuring the difference in carcass detection rate to estimate how many are missed

    • Adding GPS data since 2004

    • Using the “triple count” since 2009

Analyzing elk

  • Teeth can be pulled for aging 

  • Saw femur for condition

  • Metatarsal estimates body size





Chapter 11

Limits to Wolf Predatory Performance


How do wolves kill their prey?

  • This is a key source of myth and misunderstanding 

Wolves are often unsuccessful on hunts

  • Prey must be disadvantaged for wolves to feed”

  • Old or sick

    • Often detected by smell

Skulls not evolved to deliver a killing bite like other animals (hyenas or felids)

  • The skull is too long and that decreases the bite force

  • The jaw is not properly stabilized for those forces

  • No sharp claws

  • Age, body size, and social behavior determine hunting success as well

Assessing hunting ability

  • Described the “foraging state” of wolves in 3 stages

    • Attacking

    • Selecting

    • Killing

  • 2-3 year olds are the best hunters

  • Fluctuations in the age composition of a pack affect ungulate populations

  • Big wolves generally are better hunters

  • Success rate decreases with prey size

  • Pack size does little to offset age and size constrictions

  • Packs of 4 wolves are more successful than fewer 

    • No advantage for greater than 4 wolves

    • More are usually just freeloading wolves

      • Avoiding injury 

      • Join the hunt just to be close to food

The theory says cooperation should go up in large packs hunting large prey

  • Bison hunting

    • 3 times harder to hunt (lesser success rate)

    • Large, more aggressive, more dangerous, and more time-consuming 

    • Success with 9-13 wolves and some evidence that the trend continues

1 vs. 1 A wolf has a 2% chance of killing an elk

The main advantage of the large packs is fights with other packs

Effects on Prey Group Size

  • Overcome shortcomings by targeting small, vulnerable animals

  • Maximize encounter rate (60-80 minutes)

  • Fleeing signals weakness

  • Large groups more likely to have vulnerable individuals

  • Hunting success rates maximize at herds near 20 individuals


Conclusions

  • Wolf biology precluded it from being a killing machine

  • Exaggerated virtues and vices





Chapter 12

What Wolves Eat and Why


Any Predator

  • What is abundant

  • It’s ability

  • The most profitable prey


Background

  • “Use” - how often an item appears in the diet

  • “Availability” - frequency of encounters

  • “Prey selection” - choosing one animal over another

  • Prey taken vs prey available 

    • Larger numbers than expected are the prey being selected

  • Adolf Murie first to discover the vulnerable prey hypothesis

  • Wolves prey mainly on 8 ungulates

  • Animals migrate and this affects the availability 


Use of ungulates by wolves

  • 5,788 recorded wolf kills over 22 years

  • Divided into 4 regions

  • Divided into winter or summer

  • Elk always primary diet 

    • Fewer elk in winter when they leave the valley

  • Given a choice wolves prefer elk

    • Why?

      • Vulnerability 

      • Predator body size


Seasonal Variation

  • Marrow studies

    • <40% marrow fat = poor condition

    • 40%-70% = fair condition

    • >70% = Good condition

  • Species

    • Highest percent bison in spring and fall (10%)

    • 7% - 12% deer in summer

  • Elk age, sex, and condition recorded

    • Kill calves after they emerge from hiding 

      • 65% of the wolf diet in the summer

      • 45% of the diet in the fall

    • 30% elk calf survival rate

    • Period of risk ends after 1 year

    • Wolves average kill is 14 years old

      • Hunters average 6.5 years olds

      • Little change over the last 20 years

      • Killed after making genetic contributions

      • “Doomed surplus” was coined in 1946 by Errington 

        • Compensatory vs. additive predation

        • Adult males 37% in winter, 12% in summer

        • Environmental conditions

          • Kill more males in poor summers

          • Antlers as defense

          • Select antlerless males in better condition vs. poorer males with antlers


Elk vs Bison Selection

  • Wolves continue to select elk

    • At odds with prey switching idea


Wolves Scavenging Bison

  • Changes the equation

  • Underappreciated scavengers

  • 25% of the diet by biomass is scavenged 


Conclusions

  • Elk vulnerability is a key

  • Scavenge bison when available

    • Directly tied to bison abundance


 

Wolf Predation on Elk in a Multi-prey Environment

“It does draw attention”

  • When and how much predation stabilize ungulate abundance?

  • Any factor that can reduce abundance is “limiting”

    • Independent vs. stochastic models

  • Factor adjusting abundance is “regulating”

    • Returning to equilibrium

    • A positive relationship to abundance

    • Competition for food results in boom-bust cycles

    • Predation 

      • Is predation linked to abundance?

        • Positive or negative

      • Annual predation rates


Pre-reintroduction, Post-culling (1968- 1994) 

  • Elk regulated at 20,000

    • Decline in fecundity at that density

  • “Wolves for Yellowstone” modeled elk number decrease following reintroduction

    • Follow-up studies disagreed

    • Complicated

      • YNP elk more wolves (bison)

      • MT elk less wolves (deer)

        • MT 2x more elk 


Kill rates

  • The rate at which predators kill prey per unit time

    • Number or biomass

  • The most important factor is prey abundance 

    • “Functional response”

      • Search time

      • Capture time

      • Type 2 response (destabilizes prey)

      • Type 3 response (stabilizes prey numbers)

    • Wolves functional response differs seasonally

      • Type 3 occurs when prey switching is possible 

  • Wolves have not yet switched to bison in northern Yellowstone 

    • Some switching in the west

    • Does the killing of wolves slow the prey-switching behavior of wolves and potentially lead to a drop in the elk population?

    • What are the effects of the bison cull?

  • Elk abundance is the main driver of the functional response type

  • Elk population growth unrelated to the kill rate

    • 1997- 2008 study

  • Predation rate = kill rate + predators + prey abundance 


Wolf and Elk Abundance

  • The numerical response

    • How prey respond to predator numbers

  • Predator numbers don’t always track with prey 

    • Wolves in proportion to Old Moose (IR) (?)

  • Do wolves level off due to intraspecific conflicts before prey

    • Yes in northern Yellowstone 

  • Hypothesizes elk abundance was a key factor in wolf abundance

  • Type 3 response 200-2016

    • Types 1 and 2 also fit


Wolf Predation Rate

  • Wolf predation rate uncorrelated with elk population

    • Differs from Isle Royale and Banff

    • Weather and human harvest caused the decline in the elk population

      • Vucetich 2005

  • Wolf predation on recruited elk (>5.5 months old)

    • Neonate predation compensatory

  • Predation rates 1.8% - 9.3%

    • Very low until 2000 (3%)

  • 9,700 northern range elk is the tipping point for predation rate (7%)


Effect of wolf predation on elk abundance

  • 3 reasons this is difficult

    • Multiple sources of mortality

    • Changes in Elk: Wolf population

    • Incomplete data

      • Wolves outside of YNP

      • Interior wolves

        • Summer and winter interior migration

  • Wolves have a positive effect on elk at 5,000 - 10,000 individuals

    • Seeing equalizing effect now

  • Will equilibrium hold?

    • Banff agrees

    • Madison- Firehole agrees




Chapter 14

Population Dynamics of Northern Yellowstone Elk, Post Wolf Reintroduction


Yellowstone National Parks Elk Herd

  • Wintering within park boundaries

  • Concerns vary over time about herd size, too large vs. too small

    • 1800s market hunting 

      • Elimination of predators

    • 1920-1968 Elk culls

    • 1969- 1994 Ecosystem damage

      • Agricultural damage 

      • Allowed late-season elk hunts in Montana

        • December - February

        • Targeted cows

        • Average 1000/ year in winter

        • Average 500/ year in fall

      • 19,000 elk in January 1994

        • Hunting alone couldn’t control the population

      • 16,500 in December 1994

        • 775 hunted

        • Wolves blamed 

          • Didn’t arrive until February 1995

      • 3,915 in 2013


Effects of Wolves on Northern YNP Herds

  • Reintroduction justified as part of natural management philosophy 

  • Elk counts are not 100% accurate

  • Stability bias

    • We always miss elk 

    • 9%-30% in a good year 

    • 35%- 51% in “bad” year 

  • Wolves contribute, how much?

  • Wolves are low-probability hunters of a wide variety of prey

    • Hunting success rate <20%

    • <10% on adults

  • Selective hunting determines age distribution 

    • 50% of a wolf's diet are calves

    • 85% of adult females >10 years 

      • Average 13-16 years 

      • Average 9 years old in Madison River 

        • Harsher winters and shorter lives

      • Chances of being killed by a wolf 

        • <2% from ages 2-14

        • > 5% from hunters age 2-14

      • Least likely to kill most fertile elk


Questions about elk calf survival

  • Wolves prefer calves 40% - 60% of the diet

  • 14%-17% of calf fatalities wolf related

  • Calf survival 90% over winter

    • 16% on severe winters

  • Bear predation up from 25% to 60%

    • Similar for cougars

  • Does an increase in predation reduce winter kill?

  • Wolf predation appears additive

    • No clear causation just correlative

  • 1995-2002

    • 5.7%- 18.7% elk were killed by hunters

    • 1.8% - 6.2% elk were killed by wolves

  • Discontinued late-season hunts in 2009

    • Currently, 50 antlerless animals per year are harvested

    • 1.5% of winter count

  • Each new predator decreases prey abundance step-wise

    • Are predators synergistic or anti-synergistic 

  • Speculation on the role of bison competition and luring wolves away?

  • Climate is the ultimate impact

    • Summer temperatures and precipitation

      • Forage quality, body condition, and ultimately survival

    • Climate change exacerbates concerns


Conclusions

  • No science will solve the elk debate

  • Never before has the elk population looked like it does now

  • Stakeholders differ in view of what it “should” look like




Chapter 15

Restoration of Vegetation

Trophic cascades are indirect species interactions that originate with predators and spread downward through the food web

  • Darwin and Leopold talked about this before the term was coined

  • Effects in YNP largely unpredicted


Ecology of deciduous vegetation on YNP’s northern range

  • 2 vegetation types

    • Aspens

    • Cottonwood and willow

  • Combined 5% of landscape

    • High biomass and diversity

  • Low replacement rate and growth rate


The trophic dismantling of Yellowstone

  • Deciduous trees before reintroduction

    • Near extinction of all predators 

      • Massive spike in elk population

    • Tree recruitment was normal from 1800-1900

      • Tree ring analysis confirms 

    • Lack of recruitment due to elk recognized in 1939

  • Elk not lack of fire, limited aspens

    • Twice as many aspens in 1872 cs 1995

    • Hypothesis: Fires produce enough new growth to overwhelm elk

    • Tested and negated after 1988 fires

  • Decline of beaver willow state and emergence of elk-grassland state

    • ⅓ of streams had beavers precontact

    • Decline documented in photos

    • Decline in beaver

      • Increased stream downcutting 

        • Lowered water table

          • Decreased recruitment

            • Positive feedback

            • Berry bushes are also affected


Managers respond

  • Capture and cull major management technique 

    • 12,000 in 1950s - 5,000 in 1960s

    • Elk concentrated in YNP in the 1980s

      • High grazing pressure

    • 1968 Elk Cull stops

    • 1976 Montana institutes elk hunt to reduce agricultural damage

    • 20,000 elk in 1980’s and 1990’s 

      • Increase in winter kill


Ecosystem response to carnivore recovery

  • Predictions of elk decline of 30%

    • Not enough to cause cascading 

Aspen and Willow response

  • Elk ate 90% of aspen sprouts

    • Currently 30%-60%

  • Willow relied more on local factors

    • Water table mainly

  • Height increase post reintroduction

    • Aspen 3.2 times

    • Willow 1.7 times

  • Increased genetic diversity for both 

    • 14x and 13x respectively 

Aspen study shortcomings (a lot made of these in recent times)

  • Measure 5 tallest aspens as a sample of the “leading edge”

    • No measure of stand structure or height distribution

  • It is a good indicator of the stand survival rate 

    • Plants over 200 cm out of browse range

  • Regeneration corresponds to the end of a multi-year drought

    • 2000-2007 Palmer drought index numbers

    • Recovery began during the drought!

  • Elk at a similar population in the 1950s but no plant recovery

    • Culture of fear hypothesis

Changes in distribution

  • 80% of elk now winter outside of the park (formerly 0%)

  • More elk in the west than in the east


Water table willow experiment

  • Exclosures limed browser

  • Simulated beaver dams raised the groundwater level

    • From 121 cm below the surface to 33 cm below

  • Fastest impact when combined 

  • Confirms water table is the most important 

Cottonwood responses

  • Nearly all >25 cm diameter

  • 20% decrease since 2001

    • Bank erosion, disease, bison, beaver, wind

  • Seedling establishment

    • Bare wet sediment

    • High soil moisture

    • Low herbivory

  • 2012 survey

    • 2,300 saplings per km (upper Lamar)

    • 3 saplings per km (lower Lamar)

    • The same quality and quantity of habitat


Alder and Berry-producing shrub response

  • Taller 

  • More fruit

    • Especially serviceberry


Synthesis

  • No woody plants taller than knee height in the late 1990s

  • 3 patterns of change

    • Taller woody plants in some areas

    • Changes vary by browsing and groundwater

    • Bison have taken over browsing in some areas

    • Effects muddled by hunting increase and growth of bear and lion populations

What does vegetation recovery look like

  • Increased species heterogeneity

  • Increased age and size make up 

  • Aspens may never be fully restored

    • Climate change

  • More study needed


How can we revert to willows and meadows

  • Increase willow growth rates

  • Fastest growth with the most water

  • 1 colony along Lamar in 1995- 20 in 2015

    • Still considered too low

  • Secondary trophic effects

    • Changes in hydrology

    • Incised streams need beavers to grow willow, beavers need willow to live

      • Vicious cycle

Predators change elk behavior

  • Matter of debate

  • Rapid changes with high populations (in favor)

  • Weak and inconsistent evidence (against)

  • Changes happened simultaneously

  • Why was no similar change in 1960s

    • Duration? Predators?

Has climate change affected growth?

  • No

  • No significant difference in 20 years 

  • Exclosures erected in the 1950’s and 1960’s

  • The northern range is warmer and dryer over the long term

    • Changes possible

Other trophic cascades

  • Yes 10 spots in the Rockies

  • Also Wisconsin and Minnesota

Prospects

  • Beaver, bison, and disease

    • Beaver needed to bring back willows

    • Bison now dominate ungulate

      • Increased soil compaction

      • Increased streambed collapse

      • Increase forage consumption

    • Fires are a resetting factor

    • Disease 

      • History of distemper

      • Parvo

      • Chronic wasting

      • Plant disease

        • Cytospora chrysosperma

          • Canker causing

          • Spread by sapsuckers

    • YNP is still an island

    • Increased role for cottonwood and willow through time




Chapter 16

Competition and coexistence among Yellowstone meat eaters


Wolves relation to other carnivores

  • Scavengers

  • Bear and cougars

  • Significant and underappreciated


Communities structured by carrion

  • Increased competition

  • Underestimation of the scavenger effect

  • Interspecific competition

    • Between species

  • Exploitative competition

    • Reduction in species rate of acquiring prey

    • Ex: Bears eat most elk calves

  • Mechanism

    • Kleptoparasitism

    • Active avoidance

    • Intraguild predation


Scavengers

  • Conventional view: negative

    • Increased competition

  • Finding: Wolves provide reliable food sources

    • Not available for weasel badgers, bobcats, martens

      • Too high mortality risk

    • 100s of invertebrates

  • How do scavengers locate carcasses

    • Coyotes follow tracks

    • Ravens follow wolves and key off activity (in question)

    • Magpies do the same

  • Golden eagles scavenge cougar kills

  • Bald eagles scavenge wolf kills 

    • Differences are habitat-related

  • Bird killing is infrequent but does happen

  • 50% coyote population drop in 1999

    • 7% coyote death rate (per year)

    • Decreased over time

  • With wolves, winter severity became a secondary factor to elk survival

  • Scavengers prefer medium wolf packs

    • More kills

    • More leftovers

  • Less carrion, better temporal distribution

    • Spread through winter not just end (what happens with winter kill)

    • “Temporal subsidy” provided by wolves

  • Time feeding x feeding rate

    • Captive mammals

    • Birds peck per minute

    • 30,000 lbs of carrion

  • Hunters #2 carrion provider

    • Differs from wolves 

    • Increased ravens and eagles

    • Decreased coyotes 

    • Coyotes consistently hunted outside of the park

    • Gut piles: 350 ravens, 50 eagles (per fucking pile!)

  • Dampened rave population fluctuations

    • Only 1 study found an increase 

  • Pre: post raven numbers 

    • 221.5 plus or minus 37 (after)

    • 314 plus or minus 102 (before)

  • Climate effects

    • Shorter winters mean decreased winter kill

    • Wolves buffer these effects

      • Grizzly benefit the most

  • Wolf kills

    • Increased soil nitrogen

      • Increased plant growth


Bear essentials: an omnivore's quest for meat

  • Poisoned along with cougars and wolves

    • Remote and popularity saved them

  • Meat is preferred but secondary food

  • YNP more/ most carnivorous grizzly anywhere

    • 45% of the female diet (0% in the northern continental divide)

    • 80% of the male diet (33% in the northern continental divide)

      • *** These numbers differ from the YNP Grizzly Ecology book***

  • Bears ate 35% of adult ungulates

  • Rare for wolves to defend a kill

    • Commonly chase bears away from den sites

  • Wolf vs. bear in GYE

    • 6 COY, 1 yearling grizzly, 2 adult females

    • 2 black bears and 2 cubs

    • 0 wolf deaths

  • Wolf kill is standby food

    • Especially important with the decrease in whitebark pine

  • Bears use more wolf kills in the interior

  • Whitebark pine only loosely affects scavenging in the interior

    • Greater in Lamar, hayden, and pelican valleys 

      • Increased bear density

      • Increased interspecific interactions

  • Bears twice as likely to take over cougar kills

  • Do interference, competitions, and kleptoparasitism affect wolf kill rates?

    • No- wolves linger longer on stolen kills

  • Elk calves (first 30 days)

    • 70% bear

    • 12% wolf

    • 2% cougar

  • May- July 65% of wolf kills

    • Increased in areas without bears

  • Competition and kleptoparasitism increase cougar kills

  • Population-level fitness impacts exist between cougars, wolves and bears!

  • Wolves have a positive effect on bears

    • Bears negative effect on wolves


Cougars: Yellowstone's other top predator

  • Eradicated by 1930

  • Reestablished in the late 1980s on their own

    • Rapid population growth (10% per year)

  • Directly compete for elk

    • Different age and sex choices

      • Generally smaller elk

  • Choose calves all year 

    • Wolves prefer older elk

  • No change pre- post wolves (there is an entire other book about this)

    • Southern YNP switched to deer  as a primary food source

  • Attempted to minimize scavengers

  • Larger kill means greater displacement

    • Increased injury risk

  • Are there fitness costs?

    • Population-level costs?

  • Male home ranges dropped 50% in size post-wolf reintroduction

    • Greater overlap in home ranges

    • Increased stability

  • Consistent age-sex ratios

    • 3F:1M

    • 50% adults

    • 15% subadults

    • 35% kittens

  • Similar litter sizer and survival rate

    • Increased kitten survival 

    • Decreased infanticide 

  • Increased natural mortality

    • 62% to 75%

    • Decreased intraspecific mortality

    • Increased interspecific mortality

  • Increased density

    • 1.6 per 100 km to 3.9 per 100km

    • 1 per 38 square miles to 1 per 16 square miles

    • West averages 2.6 per 100 km

  • Recently 

    • Decreased wolves

    • Increased bison

    • Elk steady

  • Phase 3 cougar study

    • Noninvasive DNA

    • Similar density to phase 2

    • Triaxial GPS collars


Meat competitions past, present, and future

  • Today carnivores are small by Pleistocene comparison

  • 75% of megafauna extinct 

    • Decreased competition

  • Bears today compete with wolves more 

    • Wolves rarely scavenge

  • Phase 3 shows decreased cougar displacement 

    • 16% vs 45% in phase 2

  • What is the cumulative effect on the elk herd?

  • Effects on scavengers, mesopredators, soil microbes, and invertebrates?

  • If predators coexist so can we 





Chapter 17

Wolves and Humans in YNP


No pack is immune to human influence, variety of degrees

Park objectives for wolf management

  • Protect den and rendezvous sites

  • Prevent habituation

  • Educate visitors on correct behavior

  • Regulate viewing so as not to disturb natural wolf behaviors

Education and regulation

  • 100-yard distance

  • No feeding 

  • Temporary closures


Philosophy of wolf viewing

  • Most viewing from roads

    • Wolves respond less to humans on roadways

      • Increased natural behaviors 

    • Limited “chasing” wolves

  • Wolf viewing off roadways usually displaces the animals

    • Short view times

Closures: dens and rendezvous

  • All “homesites”

  • Many homesites reused 

  • Reuse means great:

    • Prey, cover, water, and safety

  • Dens closed until late June

    • ~½ mile from den

  • No-stopping zones where wolves regularly cross the road


Human safety and wolf habituation

  • Visitors must maintain 100 yards 

  • Cannot disturb wildlife 

  • Habituation is the beginning of the end

  • Close encounters

    • Stand ground

    • Look big

    • “Wolf spray”

  • “The predator paradox” Shivik 2014

  • The least dangerous North American carnivore

  • 20-30 dog fatalities per year

  • Wolf project tracks individual wolf behavior attempting to head off conflict

    • Low-level hazing is the first treatment

      • Yelling, honking, throwing rocks

    • Mid-tier hazing 

      • Paintball guns with clear paint

    • High level 

      • Beanbags, rubber bullets, cracker shells

  • Hazing 90% effective


Horses in wolf country

  • Attacks are very rare anywhere

    • Common in Spain….

  • Human presence is a further deterrent 

  • 2 encounters in YNP

    • No bites

  • Advice

    • Picket 1 or more horses

    • Leave mules free

    • Same advice for bears and moose


Temporary closures and carcass management

  • Roadies kills are removed to prevent habituation and vehicle strikes

    • Some moved to a safe distance 

  • Placing yourself on the road for a crossing is a violation





Chapter 18 

The wolf watchers

  • Watching has created famous wolves

    • ‘06 females, 21M, 42F, 302M

  • Attention to individuals complicates management

  • Increase in public awareness

  • Creation of some misconceptions

  • Public support for wolves ironic as part of wolf eradication was publicly supported

  • Yellowstone is the best place in the world to see wild wolves

    • Infrastructure and landscape

  • Wolf Recovery follows a humanistic story arc

    • “Hero's Journey”

  • Wolf watchers

    • Loose knit

    • Open to all

    • Watch, learn, don’t interfere

    • Ambassadors and models

  • CUA holders

    • 130 in 1995 →300+ in 2019

  • Global wildlife trend

    • 28% increase since 2001

    • 86 million people globally

    • $70 billion per year

  • Local economics

    • 2016-2017 bobcat worth $300,000

    • In 2005 35.5 million locally spent on wildlife watching 

      • (annual economic impact!)

    • 2017 65.5 million dollars per year

      • Off-peak visitation is often supported by wildlife watchers

  • 6 generations of ancestry

  • Challenges

    • Crowding

    • Vegetation damage

    • Habituation

  • Resources

    • Closures and education

  • 35 wolf collisions since the restoration

  • Wolf Road Management program

    • Staff stops traffic for wolves


Hunting

  • Began in 2008

    • After delisting

  • Decreased pack success rates

    • Decreased wolf-watching success rates

  • Cannot coexist with ecotourism

    • Wolves become too wary of people

  • Pack instability causes population instability

  • Low quota around park established 2012-2018


Ecotourism

  • “Responsible travel to natural areas that conserves the environment, sustains the well-being of the local people, and involves interpretation and education”

    • Key is sustainability

  • Wolf watching doesn’t harm the animals 


Yellowstones Mission Statement 

  • “The NPS preserves, unimpaired, these and other natural and cultural resources and values for the enjoyment, education, and inspiration of the future generations.”



Chapter 19

Conservation and Mangement 

“A way forward”


Examine and recommend a holistic approach to wolf management 

  • Managing piecemeal will not benefit people or animals

    • Must work together

    • Different management philosophies

    • Diverse stakeholder values


Reintroduction and management background

  • ‘'95-’97 Wolves released from Canada

  • Biologically recovered by 2003

  • Management turned over to states

    • Not inside of parks, on preserves, or on tribal lands

  • Hunting main management strategy

    • ID and MT hunts ‘09, ‘11-current

    • WY ‘12, ‘13, and ‘18- current

  • 85% of their diet is Elk

    • Follow elk in harsh winters

    • Lured by hunters' gut piles


Values of Predators

  • Full spectrum of opinions

  • Tourism vs. depredation and hunting 

  • Increased value and tolerance

  • Warming and development force elk to stay in YNP

    • Decreased hunting opportunities

  • Sport hunting and depredation increase tolerance 

    • Hunting is key to the North American model of conservation

    • Economic and social benefits

    • Wildlife held in the public trust and responsibly managed

  • Balance consumptive and non-consumptive enjoyment

Contrasting wildlife management policies

State policies

  • Wise use and consumptive benefits

  • Provide a broad array of consumptive options 

    • Hunting, fishing, trapping

    • Manage populations, food, and conflict

  • Licenses provide a budget along with federal excise taxes (minimal)

NPS

  • Preservation of wildlife systems

  • Currently 

    • Maintain ecologic integrity and resilience 

    • Maintain natural disturbance dynamics

    • Study the “biological baseline”


Wolf recovery and management in the Rockies

  • Predator control through the 1930s

  • YNP is more predator dense than ever

    • Predation and competition

    • Attacks

  • Guided by “Northern Rocky Mountain Wolf Recovery Plan”

    • 3 goals

      • 100 wolves in each state (outside of YNP)

      • The genetic flow between each

      • 10 breeding pairs with 2 pups at the end of a season for 3 consecutive years

    • Achieved in 2003

      • 761 wolves in 51 breeding pairs 

  • Delisted in 2009 relisted in 2010

  • Delisted in 2011 relisted in 2014

  • Delisted in 2017 for the final time

  • Population growth 

    • 103 wolves in 1995

      • 1,700 in 2009

      • 2,100 depredation killings 1995-2009


Human-tolerant wolves in YNP

  • Unintended wolf-watching culture raised questions of habituation

  • 4 million visitors per year are here to see wildlife

  • More vulnerable to hunting because of human proximity in YNP

  • Unrealistic visitor expectations


Research on Effects of Restoration

  • Effects on elk

    • Long-standing elk research

      • 25%-30% of wolves are collared in a given year

      • Valuable collar data shared with all government agencies

    • Effects vary greatly

      • Migration, habitat, harvest, land use, weather, predator densities, management objectives


Wolf Hunting around YNP

(2009-2018)

  • 9 seasons

  • 39 wolves confirmed 

    • 5-7 more suspected

  • 4.5% of the population taken in an average year

  • 13 collared wolves

  • 9 pups, 8 yearlings, 16 prime age, 6 old

  • 55% of packs persisted post hunting

    • 93% of unharvested persisted

  • 67% had pups

    • 77% of unharvested had pups

  • The average pack size was 7.5 wolves

    • 11 in unharvested packs

    • 6.2  in hunted packs

  • Loss of breeding females leads to disproportionate instability


Transboundary management paradigm

  • The same that is employed to manage wolves elsewhere in North America

  • Reduced quotas in districts 313 and 316

    • Areas directly abutting the park

  • No universal decisions

  • Unlimited harvest in the Banff area had no effect on wolf populations

  • Denali:

    • New area opened

    • 1 female killed 

    • No denning in the area

    • 40% decrease in wolf sightings


Framework of Transboundary Management 

  • Protect wolves from overharvest in areas adjacent to the park

  • Studies say harvest of 15%- 48% didn’t limit population growth

    • Colonization different from than saturation phases

      • Excess breeding vs. compensatory

  • Studies don’t show social structure

    • Higher-ranking wolves have a disproportionate effect

  • Limit hunts near YNP would leave more packs intact

    • Increasing viewing opportunities

    • Increasing pack stability

  • 10-mile transition zone inside of national parks

    • 9/11ths of packs use this area

    • 6 packs have it as the entirety of their range

  • Refugee zones

  • No more than 20% of the